Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
LAZ
20%
24%
57%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
24%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 2
LAZ
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LAZ
2 - 0
NAP
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 3
ROM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAG
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |