Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
FIO
1 - 0
LAZ
46%
24%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ASC
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MES
1 - 4
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LAZ
5 - 0
UDI
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 1
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
VCF
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 0
TRI
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
2 - 4
ROM
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
SHA
1 - 0
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |