Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
TOR
5 - 1
LAZ
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
LAZ
3 - 1
USA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
TRI
2 - 2
LAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
ROM
0 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
SAM
4 - 0
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
VIC
2 - 0
ROM
36%
24%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
USA
1 - 0
ROM
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |