Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 0
LAZ
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
2 - 3
TOR
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
VNZ
2 - 1
LAZ
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ROM
2 - 3
GEN
53%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
JUV
1 - 2
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |