Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ACM
1 - 3
ROM
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 2
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ROM
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 0
ATL
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |