Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
4 - 0
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
LAZ
5 - 0
ASL
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 0
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 1
ROM
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |