Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
ASL
0 - 0
LAZ
26%
20%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
22%
49%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
LAZ
4 - 0
NAP
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
ACL
1 - 1
ROM
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
ROM
4 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 0
NOV
73%
16%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
ASL
5 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |