Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
FIO
5 - 1
LAZ
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
ACM
5 - 3
LAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ROM
0 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
USA
5 - 3
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 1
ROM
27%
24%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |