Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
INT
1 - 2
LAZ
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
TOR
4 - 2
LAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
NAP
3 - 1
LAZ
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
ROM
1 - 1
PAD
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
ROM
4 - 0
TRI
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |