Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1931 |
USA
1 - 3
LAZ
45%
21%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAZ
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
LAZ
0 - 1
NAP
40%
24%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 0
LAZ
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 2
LEO
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1931 |
ROM
5 - 0
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ROM
7 - 1
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
79%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
PRO
0 - 4
ROM
32%
25%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |