Lazio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
PAL
3 - 2
LAZ
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
LAZ
3 - 2
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
LAZ
0 - 1
USC
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
VER
3 - 2
LAZ
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BAR
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 1
BAR
51%
29%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
REG
2 - 1
PRG
35%
32%
33%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
SAM
1 - 0
PRG
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
USF
61%
26%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 1
VAR
53%
29%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |