Lazio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 1
USF
43%
31%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
LAZ
0 - 2
BRE
40%
31%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MAN
43%
31%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TER
3 - 2
PRG
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PRG
5 - 1
MAT
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PRG
4 - 0
LAQ
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
TER
1 - 1
PRG
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSD
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |