Lazio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 1
FIO
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 2
LAZ
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 1
UDI
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
SIE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |