Lazio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MLL
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
UDI
0 - 3
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
SAM
0 - 1
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
PAR
0 - 1
PIA
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
INT
1 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
FIO
2 - 2
PAR
48%
26%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 0
EMP
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |