Lazio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
LAZ
1 - 1
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FCC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
COM
1 - 2
LAZ
44%
28%
27%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
USA
1 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |