Lazio vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SSS
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 1
LAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASL
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
JUV
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SAM
0 - 2
PAL
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
VNZ
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |