Lazio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
TER
1 - 0
LAZ
34%
32%
34%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
58%
26%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
LAZ
2 - 0
TER
71%
17%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
PRG
1 - 3
LAZ
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
53%
27%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
PRG
1 - 0
NOV
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
NOV
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |