Lazio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
26%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MES
1 - 2
LAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 2
PRO
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
LAZ
5 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 2
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
SSS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VER
1 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |