Lazio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
FIO
4 - 0
LAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SAM
43%
22%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 1
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
ASL
5 - 1
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
34%
25%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |