Lazio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
JUV
6 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
FIO
5 - 1
LAZ
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
NOV
0 - 0
NAP
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOV
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
32%
23%
45%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
3 - 1
NOV
60%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
3 - 4
USA
57%
21%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |