Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAZ
17%
22%
62%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
LAZ
0 - 0
LUD
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
23%
56%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
NAP
20%
25%
55%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
59%
23%
18%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
NAP
73%
17%
10%
|
96 | 100 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
0 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |