Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
LAZ
3 - 0
COS
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 1
BRE
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 2
NAP
45%
28%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 0
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |