Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
88%
8%
4%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
LAZ
1 - 3
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 0
LAZ
89%
7%
3%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 3
LAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
VIC
2 - 3
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
INT
3 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |