Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
LAZ
0 - 2
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
LAZ
0 - 2
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
TRI
0 - 2
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
SPA
1 - 1
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
NAP
1 - 2
NOV
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |