Lazio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SAL
2 - 0
LAZ
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
JUV
3 - 3
LAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
USA
2 - 1
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
LAZ
3 - 0
TRI
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
INT
1 - 1
MOD
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
MOD
2 - 4
TOR
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |