Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
9º
6º
5
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 88 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 78 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 72 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 71 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 70 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 65 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 59 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 55 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 52 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 50 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 41 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 39 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 35 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
20º
|
1 | 35 |
18º
|
17% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 30 |
20º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1% | 4% |
|
Champions League
|
23.5% | 51.5% |
|
Europa League
|
20% | 18.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
16.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LAZ
3 - 1
VNZ
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAD
0 - 1
LAZ
11%
19%
71%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
24%
51%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
24%
49%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACM
16%
22%
63%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 2
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ACM
3 - 1
ASS
77%
16%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
15%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | +1 |