Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VAR
59%
26%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
PIS
0 - 1
LAZ
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
USF
0 - 2
LAZ
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LEC
64%
25%
12%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
COM
1 - 0
ACM
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
USC
3 - 3
ACM
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 0
USF
73%
19%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |