Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
INT
3 - 2
LAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
0 - 0
VER
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAT
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
3 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |