Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAZ
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
INT
0 - 1
LAZ
79%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIC
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
ACM
55%
21%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 3
BAR
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 1
NAP
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |