Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
LAZ
0 - 2
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ROM
3 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 0
LAZ
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 2
ACM
30%
22%
48%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
TOR
3 - 3
ACM
26%
23%
52%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
SPA
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 3
ACM
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |