Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
LAZ
3 - 2
COM
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
JUV
1 - 2
LAZ
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
PAL
0 - 1
ACM
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ACM
7 - 1
PRO
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
JUV
1 - 7
ACM
59%
19%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
ACM
2 - 0
VNZ
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
COM
1 - 4
ACM
18%
20%
62%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |