Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 2
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
50%
21%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
SAM
3 - 1
ACM
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
PAL
0 - 0
ACM
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |