Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
LAZ
5 - 3
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
USA
1 - 2
LAZ
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
61%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
BRE
2 - 0
ACM
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |