Lazio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
31%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
LAZ
5 - 0
TAR
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
MES
3 - 3
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
ALV
2 - 0
MES
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |