Lazio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MAN
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
USF
1 - 0
LAZ
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 0
LAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
MES
0 - 0
VIC
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
MES
2 - 2
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
MAN
2 - 0
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
MES
1 - 2
ROM
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |