Lazio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 0
UDI
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
USF
1 - 2
LAZ
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAR
71%
20%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
34%
31%
36%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |