Lazio vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MLL
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
UDI
0 - 3
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COV
1 - 2
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 0
LEE
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
MUD
4 - 0
SHW
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
EVE
1 - 1
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |