Lazio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
COS
2 - 2
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
LAZ
3 - 1
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ASL
2 - 0
USA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
ASL
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
ASL
0 - 4
PIS
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 3
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |