Lazio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
2 - 1
LAZ
41%
22%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 2
TOR
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
INT
4 - 0
ASL
90%
6%
3%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 4
GEN
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
52%
22%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |