Europa League 1/32
Global 4-0
Lazio vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
USC
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USF
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
JUV
4 - 1
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1993 |
LPL
2 - 1
ETA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
SHU
3 - 1
LPL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
LPL
1 - 0
YAN
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
LSO
2 - 0
LPL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
LPL
1 - 2
SSO
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |