Lazio vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 1
INT
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
2 - 0
LAZ
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
MOD
2 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
TOR
5 - 1
LAZ
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
ATL
3 - 1
LIV
38%
24%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
ROM
0 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |