Lazio vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACL
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
LAZ
5 - 0
FIO
67%
18%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
LIV
3 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
3 - 2
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |