Lazio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
36%
26%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAG
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 2
ROM
23%
24%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |