Lazio vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 1
LAZ
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LAZ
4 - 1
NOV
81%
13%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 0
CHI
85%
12%
3%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 2
JUV
12%
22%
66%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAM
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |