Lazio vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 3
LAZ
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
INT
4 - 0
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACL
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
24%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
ACL
0 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |