Lazio vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
BAR
5 - 1
LAZ
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASL
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
JUV
5 - 2
FIO
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
ASL
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
JUV
3 - 0
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |