Lazio vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
PRO
3 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 3
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
JUV
4 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |