Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CRO
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
LAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 1
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAG
4 - 1
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 1
ROM
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
GEN
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 4
PAL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
FIO
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |