Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CES
2 - 1
LAZ
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ACM
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
0 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
LAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 3
SAS
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |