Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
INT
3 - 2
LAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
0 - 0
VER
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
GEN
0 - 3
LAZ
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
VER
3 - 0
LAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
54%
28%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
VER
1 - 0
GEN
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |